The search for technosignatures from hypothetical galactic civilizations is
going through a new phase of intense activity. For the first time, a
significant fraction of the vast search space is expected to be sampled in the
foreseeable future, potentially bringing informative data about the abundance
of detectable extraterrestrial civilizations, or the lack thereof. Starting
from the current state of ignorance about the galactic population of
non-natural electromagnetic signals, we formulate a Bayesian statistical model
to infer the mean number of radio signals crossing Earth, assuming either
non-detection or the detection of signals in future surveys of the Galaxy.
Under fairly noninformative priors, we find that not detecting signals within
about $1$ kly from Earth, while suggesting the lack of galactic emitters or at
best the scarcity thereof, is nonetheless still consistent with a probability
exceeding $10$ \% that typically over $\sim 100$ signals could be crossing
Earth, with radiated power analogous to that of the Arecibo radar, but coming
from farther in the Milky Way. The existence in the Galaxy of potentially
detectable Arecibo-like emitters can be reasonably ruled out only if all-sky
surveys detect no such signals up to a radius of about $40$ kly, an endeavor
requiring detector sensitivities thousands times higher than those of current
telescopes. Conversely, finding even one Arecibo-like signal within $\sim 1000$
light years, a possibility within reach of current detectors, implies almost
certainly that typically more than $\sim 100$ signals of comparable radiated
power cross the Earth, yet to be discovered.